Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Modena had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Modena
53.32% ( 0.08)	24.57% ( 0)	22.11% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.92% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.38% (

-0.1)

51.62% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59% (

-0.09)

73.41% (

0.09)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

-0.01)

19.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.93% (

-0.01)

51.07% (

0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.87% (

-0.13)

38.13% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11% (

-0.13)

74.89% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 53.31%

Modena 22.11%

Draw 24.56%

Cremonese	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.31%	1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 22.11%