Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Cittadella
36.05% ( 0.14)	28.87% ( 0.03)	35.07% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 45.23% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.61% (

-0.1)

61.39% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.71% (

-0.07)

81.28% (

0.07)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57% (

0.04)

32.42% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.06% (

0.05)

68.94% (

-0.05)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.93% (

-0.16)

33.07% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.34% (

-0.18)

69.66% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Modena 36.05%

Cittadella 35.07%

Draw 28.87%

Modena	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.05%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.87%	0-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.07%