Serie B | Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Brescia logo

Cittadella
3 - 2
Brescia

Carriero (13'), Vita (32'), Maistrello (81')
Salvi (37'), Pavan (51')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Frare (4' og.), Bertagnoli (69')
Dickmann (9'), Gastaldello (10'), van de Looi (79'), Fares (88')
Gastaldello (0')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cittadella

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Cittadella
Tuesday, October 31 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 1-2 Bari
Sunday, October 29 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.

Result
CittadellaDrawBrescia
35.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)28.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)35.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)59.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.88%
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)31.6% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.0090000000000039 -0.01)68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.004999999999999 0)68.06% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cittadella 35.86%
    Brescia 35.78%
    Draw 28.35%
CittadellaDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.86%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.78%

Head to Head
Mar 1, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Cittadella
0-0
Brescia
Oct 8, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 8
Brescia
1-1
Cittadella
Aye (28')
Antonucci (69')
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 37
Cittadella
1-0
Brescia
Cassandro (62')
Visentin (59'), Beretta (61'), Del Fabro (74')

van de Looi (22')
Dec 19, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 18
Brescia
1-1
Cittadella
Moreo (71')
Tramoni (40'), Pajac (90+5')
Antonucci (52')
Kastrati (27'), Branca (56'), Adorni (75'), Benedetti (90+3')
May 13, 2021 5pm
Cittadella
1-0
Brescia
Proia (40')
Adorni (44'), Branca (54'), Donnarumma (86')