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Serie A

Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Lazio logo

Empoli
0 - 2
Lazio


Maldini (15'), Fazzini (45+1'), Bastoni (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guendouzi (9'), Zaccagni (67')
Patric (26'), Rovella (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawLazio
26.67% (-0.249 -0.25)25.4% (0.050999999999998 0.05)47.93% (0.198 0.2)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.35700000000001 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.92% (-0.372 -0.37)51.08% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07% (-0.328 -0.33)72.93% (0.327 0.33)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.22% (-0.39800000000001 -0.4)33.78% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.56% (-0.434 -0.43)70.44% (0.43300000000001 0.43)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)21.32% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (-0.103 -0.1)54.28% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 26.67%
    Lazio 47.93%
    Draw 25.4%
EmpoliDrawLazio
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.67%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.6% (0.093000000000002 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.93%

How you voted: Empoli vs Lazio

Empoli
13.5%
Draw
14.9%
Lazio
71.6%
74
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
0-2
Lazio

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Cambiaghi (89')
Romagnoli (48'), Alberto (90+2')
Milinkovic-Savic (40'), Vecino (62')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Lazio
2-2
Empoli
Anderson (2'), Zaccagni (54')
Caputo (83'), Marin (90+3')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Lazio
3-3
Empoli
Immobile (14'), Milinkovic-Savic (66', 90+3')
Felipe (18'), Pedro (52'), Marusic (62'), Alberto (71')
Bajrami (6' pen.), Zurkowski (8'), Di Francesco (75')
Parisi (10'), Marchizza (33'), Luperto (86'), Bandinelli (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Empoli
1-3
Lazio
Bandinelli (4')
Stojanovic (38'), Ismajli (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Lazzari (31'), Immobile (41' pen.)
Leiva (29')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Lazio
1-0
Empoli
Caicedo (42' pen.)
Neto (90')

Acquah (90')
> Match Report