Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 2
Lazio

Walace (59')
Kristensen (10'), Payero (34'), Masina (38'), Ferreira (44'), Perez (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pellegrini (12'), Vecino (76')
Kamada (40'), Gila (46'), Pellegrini (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Bologna
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Frosinone
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Lazio
33.5% ( 0.18)	26.67% ( 0.05)	39.82% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68% (

-0.16)

53.32% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13% (

-0.14)

74.86% (

0.13)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70% (

0.03)

30% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.88% (

0.04)

66.12% (

-0.05)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

-0.2)

26.24% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

-0.26)

61.35% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Udinese 33.5%

Lazio 39.82%

Draw 26.67%

Udinese	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.5%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.82%