Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.