Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.