Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 43.8% ( | 24.44% ( | 31.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.8% ( | 44.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.42% ( | 66.58% ( |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( | 20.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.32% ( | 52.67% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( | 26.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( | 61.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.75% |