Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.