Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 1
Frosinone

Castellanos (70'), Isaksen (72'), Patric (84')
Patric (56'), Sarri (57'), Isaksen (78'), Cataldi (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Soule (58' pen.)
Okoli (74'), Barrenechea (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Lazio
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Frosinone
58.19% ( -0.12)	23.27% ( 0.02)	18.54% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.47% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.18% (

0.03)

50.81% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.29% (

0.03)

72.7% (

-0.03)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.8% (

-0.03)

17.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54% (

-0.05)

47.46% (

0.05)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.53% (

0.13)

41.46% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.03% (

0.11)

77.96% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Lazio 58.18%

Frosinone 18.54%

Draw 23.26%

Lazio	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.18%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.54%