Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Bayern

Stanisic (18'), Grimaldo (50'), Frimpong (90+5')
Tapsoba (64'), Adli (77'), Hradecky (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boey (36'), Goretzka (62')

The Match

Match Report

Bayer Leverkusen record a statement 3-0 victory over title rivals Bayern Munich to move five points clear at the top of the Bundesliga table.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
37.61% ( -0.35)	23.34% ( 0.28)	39.05% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 64.03% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.46% (

-1.41)

37.54% (

1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.23% (

-1.53)

59.77% (

1.53)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68% (

-0.79)

20.31% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.31% (

-1.27)

52.69% (

1.27)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.36% (

-0.57)

19.64% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.39% (

-0.94)

51.6% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 37.61%

Bayern Munich 39.05%

Draw 23.33%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.61%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.33%	1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 39.05%