Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.