Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1

RB Leipzig
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Simons (7'), Openda (56')
Simons (71'), Schlager (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tella (47'), Tah (63'), Hincapie (90+1')
Tah (12'), Alonso (34'), Stanisic (38'), Wirtz (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
37.25% ( -0.76)	24.42% ( -0.07)	38.33% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 59.88% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.07% (

0.35)

42.92% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.67% (

0.35)

65.33% (

-0.34)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

-0.23)

22.89% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35% (

-0.34)

56.65% (

0.34)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

0.58)

22.34% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18% (

0.86)

55.82% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 37.25%

Bayer Leverkusen 38.33%

Draw 24.42%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.25%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.33%