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Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Leverkusen logo

Darmstadt
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen


Zimmermann (49'), Franjic (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tella (33', 52')
Andrich (6'), Hlozek (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Darmstadt
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 0-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayer Leverkusen
18.69% (0.464 0.46)20.47% (0.112 0.11)60.83% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)
Both teams to score 57.97% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.64% (0.252 0.25)38.35% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.36% (0.266 0.27)60.63% (-0.273 -0.27)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03% (0.64800000000001 0.65)33.96% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (0.693 0.69)70.64% (-0.697 -0.7)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.78% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)12.21% (0.083 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.11% (-0.178 -0.18)37.88% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 18.69%
    Bayer Leverkusen 60.83%
    Draw 20.47%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.09% (0.101 0.1)
1-0 @ 4.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.42% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.83% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 18.69%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.17% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 6.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.43% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 3.75% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.65% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.38% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.02 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 60.83%

How you voted: Darmstadt vs B. Leverkusen

SV Darmstadt 98
12.5%
Draw
5.6%
Bayer Leverkusen
81.9%
72
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
B. Leverkusen
5-1
Darmstadt
Okoh Boniface (21', 61'), Palacios (49'), Hofmann (67'), Hlozek (83')
Tah (24'), Palacios (26'), Xhaka (31')
Vilhelmsson (24')
Vilhelmsson (53'), Klarer (80')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2017 7pm
Darmstadt
0-2
B. Leverkusen
Brandt (15'), Volland (56')
Jedvaj (36'), Toprak (39')
Nov 5, 2016 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
3-2
Darmstadt
Calhanoglu (32'), Brandt (56'), Aranguiz (69')
Colak (47'), Vrancic (85')
Guwara (91')
Feb 13, 2016 2.30pm
Darmstadt
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Wagner (28')
Gondorf (37'), Rosenthal (69'), Sulu (84'), Heller (85'), Niemeyer (88'), Rausch (92')
Sulu (62' og.), Brandt (77')
Wendell (23'), Ramalho (90'), Calhanoglu (92')
Sep 12, 2015 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
0-1
Darmstadt

Papadopoulos (35'), Wendell (41'), Bellarabi (92')
Sulu (8')
Mathenia (68')
> Match Report