Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.