Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
| 40.73% ( | 26.64% ( | 32.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.62% ( | 53.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% ( | 74.92% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( | 25.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% ( | 60.74% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( | 30.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% ( | 66.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.63% |