Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
4 - 0
Cagliari

Pellegrini (2'), Dybala (23', 51' pen.), Huijsen (59')
Paredes (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nandez (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Roma
Monday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Torino
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Cagliari
61.57% ( -0.28)	22.97% ( 0.51)	15.46% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 43.53% (

-1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.74% (

-2.28)

54.26% (

2.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.34% (

-1.93)

75.65% (

1.93)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76% (

-0.9)

17.23% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.46% (

-1.61)

47.53% (

1.61)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.59% (

-1.68)

47.4% (

1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.21% (

-1.28)

82.79% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Roma 61.55%

Cagliari 15.46%

Draw 22.96%

Roma	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 14.36% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.55%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.46%