Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.