Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 2
Roma

Kastanos (70')
Pierozzi (43'), Candreva (87'), Inzaghi (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dybala (51' pen.), Pellegrini (66')
Pellegrini (45+3'), Dybala (81'), Patricio (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Al Shabab 1-2 Roma
Wednesday, January 24 at 4.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Roma
18.26% ( 0.16)	22.71% ( 0.05)	59.02% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 49.67% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.04% (

0.01)

48.96% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.95% (

0.01)

71.04% (

-0.01)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.31% (

0.19)

40.69% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

0.17)

77.28% (

-0.17)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.75% (

-0.07)

16.25% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.23% (

-0.13)

45.77% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 18.26%

Roma 59.01%

Draw 22.71%

Salernitana	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.26%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.71%	0-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.91% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 59.01%