Serie A Gameweek 21
Roma
Jan 20, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Hellas Verona
  • Romelu Lukaku 19' goal
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 25' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 41' yellowcard
  • Diego Llorente 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pawel Dawidowicz 52'
  • yellowcard Michael Folorunsho 56'
  • goal Michael Folorunsho 76'

Roma vs Hellas Verona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
AC Milan 3 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Romelu Lukaku

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 5.00pm
Hellas Verona 2 - 1 Empoli
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Cyril Ngonge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 68.9% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 19.9% ▼ (-0.08)
Hellas Verona 11.19% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.9% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 51.09% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 27.05% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 72.95% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 12.68% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.31% ▼ (-0.08)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 86.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 13.78% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 58.9% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 41.1% ▼ (-0.17)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5 47.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 52.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 13.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 86.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Roma 68.9%
Draw 19.9%
Hellas Verona 11.19%
Roma
1-0 @ 14.28% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 14.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 68.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 19.9%
Hellas Verona
0-1 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.19%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 2
Hellas Verona
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Roma
  • Ondrej Duda 4' goal
  • Cyril Ngonge 45'+3' goal
  • Pawel Dawidowicz 64' yellowcard
  • Marco Baroni 70' yellowcard
  • Isak Hien 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Paulo Dybala 13'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 56'
  • yellowcard Houssem Aouar 62'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 68'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Roma
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Hellas Verona
  • Ola Solbakken 45' goal
Serie A Gameweek 12
Hellas Verona
Oct 31, 2022 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Roma
  • Pawel Dawidowicz 27' goal
  • goal Nicolo Zaniolo 45'+1'
  • goal Cristian Volpato 88'
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Roma
Feb 19, 2022 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Hellas Verona
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 38' yellowcard
  • Sergio Oliveira 39' yellowcard
  • Cristian Volpato 65' goal
  • Rick Karsdorp 69' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Bove 84' goal
  • Jose Mourinho 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Antonin Barak 5'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Casale 16'
  • goal Adrien Tameze 20'
  • yellowcard Koray Gunter 89'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Hellas Verona
Sep 19, 2021 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Roma
  • Davide Faraoni 30' yellowcard
  • Antonin Barak 49' goal
  • Antonin Barak 51' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Caprari 54' goal
  • Davide Faraoni 63' goal
  • Martin Hongla 83' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Casale 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 18'
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 36'
  • goal Ivan Ilic 58' (OG)
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 71'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Roma
Jan 31, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Hellas Verona
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 17' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 20' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 22' goal
  • Borja Mayoral 29' goal
  • Marash Kumbulla 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davide Faraoni 23'
  • goal Ebrima Colley 62'

Form Data

AC Milan 3 - 1 Roma
Lazio 1 - 0 Roma
Roma 1 - 1 Atalanta
Roma 2 - 1 Cremonese
Juventus 1 - 0 Roma
Roma 2 - 0 Napoli
Hellas Verona 2 - 1 Empoli
Inter Milan 2 - 1 Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona 0 - 1 Salernitana
Hellas Verona 2 - 0 Cagliari
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona 1 - 1 Lazio