Club Friendlies
Jan 24, 2024 at 4.45pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Roma logo

Al Shabab
1 - 2
Roma

Carrasco (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Costa (54'), Lukaku (85')
Golic (34')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Club Friendlies clash between Al Shabab and Roma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-0 Al Wahda
Saturday, December 30 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Roma

All competitions
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, January 20 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Al ShababDrawRoma
30.51% (-0.795 -0.79)26.09% (0.144 0.14)43.4% (0.657 0.66)
Both teams to score 52.4% (-0.807 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (-0.879 -0.88)51.84% (0.886 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (-0.768 -0.77)73.6% (0.773 0.77)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-0.999 -1)31.29% (1.005 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (-1.178 -1.18)67.64% (1.185 1.19)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)23.74% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)57.88% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 30.51%
    Roma 43.4%
    Draw 26.09%
Al ShababDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.21% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.51%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.259 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.68% (0.238 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.4%