Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Al Wahda had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Al Wahda win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.