Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdul Aziz Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Wahda
1 - 3
Al-Nassr

De Moraes (81')
Bakshween (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Telles (11'), Al Amri (39'), Ronaldo (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Wahda and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Wahda

All competitions
Last Game: Al Hazem 1-2 Al Wahda
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-3 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, November 7 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 13.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 2-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al WahdaDrawAl-Nassr
13.19% (0.046999999999999 0.05)18.22% (0.023 0.02)68.58% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.87% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (0.007000000000005 0.01)61.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.81% (0.075000000000003 0.08)41.18% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28% (0.065999999999999 0.07)77.72% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)10.32% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)33.75% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 13.19%
    Al-Nassr 68.58%
    Draw 18.22%
Al WahdaDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 3.8% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.67% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.19%
1-1 @ 8.56% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.22%
0-2 @ 10.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-4 @ 4.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.9% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 68.58%

How you voted: Al Wahda vs Al-Nassr

Al Wahda
5.9%
Draw
5.9%
Al-Nassr
88.2%
17
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Al Wahda
1-5
Al-Nassr
Matar (90+3')
Pedro (45+3')
Hamdallah (7'), Masharipov (52', 65'), Asiri (56'), Al Naji (75')
Qassem (32'), Talisca (44'), Al Naji (86'), Alkhaibari (90+1')
Aug 12, 2019 4.40pm
Round of 16
Al Wahda
2-3
Al-Nassr
Al Menhali (27'), Tagliabue (79')
Matar (40'), Leonardo (83')
Hamdallah (41'), Giuliano (45', 62')
Al Khaibari (47'), Jones (56'), Al Mansour (69'), Al Ghuwainem (74'), Hawsawi (83'), Al Obaid (86')