Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdul Aziz Stadium

Al Wahda
2 - 3
Al Ettifaq

Goodwin (37', 51')
Al Issa (54'), Al Bukhari (90+4'), van Crooij (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wijnaldum (18', 81'), Gray (90+8')
Henderson (58'), Hendry (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Wahda and Al Ettifaq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Wahda
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Ettifaq
Sunday, October 22 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.

Result
Al WahdaDrawAl Ettifaq
38.5% (0.196 0.2)25.88% (-0.07 -0.07)35.62% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.227 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (0.296 0.3)49.69% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (0.265 0.27)71.7% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (0.244 0.24)25.3% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (0.333 0.33)60.07% (-0.328 -0.33)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (0.069000000000003 0.07)26.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (0.090000000000003 0.09)62.25% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 38.5%
    Al Ettifaq 35.62%
    Draw 25.87%
Al WahdaDrawAl Ettifaq
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.5%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.62%

How you voted: Al Wahda vs Al Ettifaq

Al Wahda
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Al Ettifaq
85.7%
7