Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Damac had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Damac win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.