Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Damac had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Riyadh win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.