Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Damac had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Riyadh win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Damac	Draw	Al Riyadh
29.44% ( 0.22)	26.87% ( 0.13)	43.68% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 49.5% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.66% (

-0.41)

55.33% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.45% (

-0.34)

76.54% (

0.34)

Damac Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.12% (

-0.06)

33.87% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46% (

-0.06)

70.54% (

0.06)

Al Riyadh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

-0.36)

25.15% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

-0.49)

59.86% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Damac 29.45%

Al Riyadh 43.67%

Draw 26.86%

Damac	Draw	Al Riyadh
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.45%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 43.67%