Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.89%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.