AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Oct 16, 2021 at 4pm UK
Al-Nahyan Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Wahda
1 - 5
Al-Nassr

Matar (90+3')
Pedro (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hamdallah (7'), Masharipov (52', 65'), Asiri (56'), Al Naji (75')
Qassem (32'), Talisca (44'), Al Naji (86'), Alkhaibari (90+1')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Al Wahda and Al-Nassr.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Al WahdaDrawAl-Nassr
37.77%28.86%33.36%
Both teams to score 45.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.52%61.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.65%81.35%
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61%31.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24%67.75%
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72%34.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.02%70.97%
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 37.77%
    Al-Nassr 33.36%
    Draw 28.85%
Al WahdaDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 37.77%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 11.51%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 6.17%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.36%