Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Damac had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Damac win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Wahda would win this match.