Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdul Aziz Stadium

Al Wahda
4 - 2
Damac

Ighalo (17', 45+1' pen., 52'), Goodwin (62')
Al-Hafith (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ceesay (36'), Faqihi (83')
Al Hawsawi (85'), Faqihi (90+1')
Al-Rashidi (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Wahda and Damac, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Wahda

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 4-1 Al Wahda
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Damac

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 3-1 Damac
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Damac had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Damac win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Wahda would win this match.

Result
Al WahdaDrawDamac
36.96% (-0.136 -0.14)26.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.63% (0.132 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)51.9% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.65% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)27.18% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.102 -0.1)62.59% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (0.075999999999993 0.08)27.38% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (0.1 0.1)62.84% (-0.105 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 36.96%
    Damac 36.63%
    Draw 26.4%
Al WahdaDrawDamac
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.63%

How you voted: Al Wahda vs Damac

Al Wahda
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Damac
0.0%
20