Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 4pm UK
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium

Al Fateh
5 - 1
Al Wahda

Tello (45+5', 89', 90+2'), Batna (67'), Djaniny (86')
Saadane (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Goodwin (21')
De Moraes (23'), Bakshween (44')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fateh and Al Wahda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fateh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al Fateh
Thursday, September 21 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Wahda

All competitions
Last Game: Al Wahda 4-0 Abha
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Al FatehDrawAl Wahda
33.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)24.6% (-0.012 -0.01)42.32% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (0.035000000000004 0.04)44.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (0.033999999999999 0.03)66.86% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.012 -0.01)25.96% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.037999999999997 0.04)21.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (0.061999999999998 0.06)53.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Al Fateh 33.07%
    Al Wahda 42.32%
    Draw 24.6%
Al FatehDrawAl Wahda
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 42.32%