Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.