Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium

Al Fateh
5 - 1
Al-Ahli

Albirakan (21' pen.), Zelarayan (58'), Batna (89' pen., 90+3'), Bendebka (90+14' pen.)
Alfehaid (45+1'), Petros (45+10'), Batna (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sadiq Alhassan (6' og.)
Mahrez (45+9'), Demiral (82'), Ibanez (87'), Alnabit (90')
Demiral (90+12')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fateh and Al-Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fateh

All competitions
Last Game: Damac 2-2 Al Fateh
Tuesday, August 29 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 2-0 Al Tai
Tuesday, August 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Al FatehDrawAl-Ahli
20.14% (0.058999999999997 0.06)22.87% (0.127 0.13)56.99% (-0.184 -0.18)
Both teams to score 52.35% (-0.305 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.456 -0.46)47% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.427 -0.43)69.25% (0.428 0.43)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (-0.197 -0.2)37.49% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (-0.195 -0.19)74.27% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74% (-0.223 -0.22)16.26% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2% (-0.409 -0.41)45.8% (0.41 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Al Fateh 20.14%
    Al-Ahli 56.98%
    Draw 22.87%
Al FatehDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 5.98% (0.082 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 2.93% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 20.14%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 10.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.09% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.98%

How you voted: Al Fateh vs Al-Ahli

Al Fateh
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Ahli
87.5%
8