Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
2 - 0
Al Tai

Mahrez (39'), Kessie (59')
Al-Asmari (90+2'), Demiral (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mohammed (43'), Braga (60')
Semedo (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Tai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-0 Al Okhdood
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Tai 0-3 Al Wahda
Thursday, August 24 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for an Al Tai win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Tai
68.52% (0.31099999999999 0.31)18.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.49% (-0.317 -0.32)
Both teams to score 47.91% (-0.99 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.86% (-0.811 -0.81)44.14% (0.815 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.48% (-0.793 -0.79)66.52% (0.798 0.8)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)11.81% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.95% (-0.318 -0.32)37.05% (0.322 0.32)
Al Tai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.33% (-1.028 -1.03)45.67% (1.034 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.54% (-0.819 -0.82)81.46% (0.824 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 68.51%
    Al Tai 12.49%
    Draw 18.99%
Al-AhliDrawAl Tai
2-0 @ 12.3% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 11.52% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.76% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.68% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 68.51%
1-1 @ 9.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.99%
0-1 @ 4.23% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.54% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.49%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Tai

Al-Ahli
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Al Tai
5.0%
20
rhs 2.0


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