Saudi Pro League Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Riyad Mahrez 39' goal
  • Franck Kessie 59' goal
  • Ali Al-Asmari 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Merih Demiral 90'+6' yellowcard
  • redcard Alfa Semedo 35'
  • yellowcard Tariq Mohammed 43'
  • yellowcard Victor Braga 60'

Al-Ahli vs Al Tai - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Aug 24, 2023 7.00pm
Al-Ahli 1 - 0 Al Okhdood
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Firas Albirakan

Al Tai

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Aug 24, 2023 4.00pm
Al Tai 0 - 3 Al Wahda
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Bernard Mensah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for an Al Tai win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result

Al-Ahli 68.52% (+0.32)
Draw 18.99% (+0.01)
Al Tai 12.49% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.91% (-1.00)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.86% (-0.82)
Under 2.5 44.14% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 33.48% (-0.80)
Under 3.5 66.52% (+0.80)
Over 4.5 17.14% (-0.59)
Under 4.5 82.86% (+0.59)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 88.19% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 11.81% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 62.95% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 37.05% (+0.33)

Al Tai Goals

Over 0.5 54.33% (-1.03)
Under 0.5 45.67% (+1.04)
Over 1.5 18.54% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 81.46% (+0.83)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 68.51%
Draw 18.99%
Al Tai 12.49%
Al-Ahli
2-0 @ 12.3% (+0.30)
1-0 @ 11.52% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.76% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 4.68% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.11)
5-0 @ 2% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 68.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.03% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.99%
Al Tai
0-1 @ 4.23% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.54% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 12.49%