Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1

Aug 11, 2023 at 7pm UK

King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
3 - 1
Al Hazem

Firmino (6', 10', 72')
Hindi (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vinicius (50')
Al Shammari (13'), Al Mhemaid (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

Last Game: Al-Duhail 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 30 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result
Al-Ahli	Draw	Al Hazem
41.67% ( -0.38)	28.75% ( 0.42)	29.57% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 44.3% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.06% (

-1.4)

61.93% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.31% (

-1.05)

81.69% (

1.05)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.68% (

-0.89)

29.31% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71% (

-1.11)

65.29% (

1.11)

Al Hazem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

-0.8)

37.32% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89% (

-0.8)

74.1% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Al-Ahli 41.66%

Al Hazem 29.57%

Draw 28.75%

Al-Ahli	Draw	Al Hazem
1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.51% Total : 41.66%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.75%	0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.57%