Saudi Pro League Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Roberto Firmino 6' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 10' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 72' goal
  • Abdulbasit Hindi 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yousef Al Shammari 13'
  • yellowcard Ahmad Al Mhemaid 20'
  • goal Vinicius 50'

Al-Ahli vs Al Hazem - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Firas Albirakan

Al Hazem

All competitions
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Toze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result

Al-Ahli 41.67% (-0.38)
Draw 28.75% (+0.42)
Al Hazem 29.57% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.3% (-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.06% (-1.41)
Under 2.5 61.93% (+1.40)
Over 3.5 18.31% (-1.05)
Under 3.5 81.69% (+1.05)
Over 4.5 7.38% (-0.59)
Under 4.5 92.61% (+0.59)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 70.68% (-0.90)
Under 0.5 29.31% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 34.71% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 65.29% (+1.11)

Al Hazem Goals

Over 0.5 62.67% (-0.81)
Under 0.5 37.32% (+0.80)
Over 1.5 25.89% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 74.1% (+0.80)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 41.66%
Draw 28.75%
Al Hazem 29.57%
Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 13.42% (+0.36)
2-0 @ 8.24% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.23% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 10.94% (+0.56)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.75%
Al Hazem
0-1 @ 10.78% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.31% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.57%