AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2021 at 6.45pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
2 - 1
Al-Shorta

Al Somah (5'), Ghareeb (79')
Ghareeb (65'), Hindi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Youssef (26')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Shorta.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Al-Shorta had a probability of 21.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Al-Shorta win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Shorta
52.04%26.32%21.65%
Both teams to score 44.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.51%58.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93%79.07%
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39%22.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77%56.23%
Al-Shorta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.49%42.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13%78.87%
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 52.02%
    Al-Shorta 21.65%
    Draw 26.31%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Shorta
1-0 @ 14.28%
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 4.5%
4-0 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 52.02%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.11%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 21.65%

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