AFC Champions League
Apr 15, 2021 9.15pm
5
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Farshid Esmaeili 5' goal
  • Mohammad Naderi 54' goal
  • Mehdi Ghaedi 67' goal
  • Mehdi Ghaedi 86' goal
  • Cheick Diabate 88' goal
  • goal Omar Al Somah 27'
  • yellowcard Omar Al Somah 37'
  • yellowcard Salman Al Moasher 68'
  • goal Omar Al Somah 79'

Esteghlal vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Esteghlal

All competitions

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esteghlal would win this match.

Result

Esteghlal 52.14%
Draw 24.54%
Al-Ahli 23.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.68%
Under 2.5 50.32%
Over 3.5 27.73%
Under 3.5 72.26%

Esteghlal Goals

Over 0.5 80.72%
Under 0.5 19.27%
Over 1.5 48.99%
Under 1.5 51.01%

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 63.75%
Under 0.5 36.25%
Over 1.5 26.96%
Under 1.5 73.03%

Score analysis

Esteghlal 52.13%
Draw 24.54%
Al-Ahli 23.32%
Esteghlal
1-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 9.47%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3%
Total : 52.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 24.54%
Al-Ahli
0-1 @ 7.09%
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 23.32%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Sep 23, 2020 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mehdi Ghaedi 29' goal
  • Hrvoje Milic 30' yellowcard
  • Ali Karimi 38' goal
  • Cheick Diabate 54' goal
  • yellowcard Hussein Abdul Ghani 49'
AFC Champions League
Feb 17, 2020 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Salman Al Moasher 17' goal
  • Mohammed Al-Majhad 27' yellowcard
  • Salman Al Moasher 29' goal
  • Ali Al-Asmari 34' yellowcard
  • Abdulbasit Hindi 52' yellowcard
  • Salman Al Moasher 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roozbeh Cheshmi 1'
  • goal Amir Arsalan Motahari 22'