AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2020 at 7pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Esteghlal1 - 1Al-Shorta
Arsalan Motahari (68')
Rezavand (16'), Milic (32'), Ghafouri (36')
Rezavand (16'), Milic (32'), Ghafouri (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fayad (26')
Hussein Ali (28'), Abdul-Amir (89'), Zamil (90+3')
Hussein Ali (28'), Abdul-Amir (89'), Zamil (90+3')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Esteghlal and Al-Shorta.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Al-Shorta had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for an Al-Shorta win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Esteghlal | Draw | Al-Shorta |
| 60.48% | 22.47% | 17.06% |
| Both teams to score 48.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% | 49.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% | 71.79% |
| Esteghlal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% | 16.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.6% | 45.4% |
| Al-Shorta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.37% | 42.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% | 78.98% |
| Score Analysis |
Esteghlal 60.47%
Al-Shorta 17.06%
Draw 22.47%
| Esteghlal | Draw | Al-Shorta |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% 2-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.02% Total : 60.47% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.47% | 0-1 @ 5.83% 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.72% Total : 17.06% |


