AFC Champions League
Sep 23, 2020 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mehdi Ghaedi 29' goal
  • Hrvoje Milic 30' yellowcard
  • Ali Karimi 38' goal
  • Cheick Diabate 54' goal
  • yellowcard Hussein Abdul Ghani 49'

Esteghlal vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Esteghlal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 20, 2020 7.00pm
Esteghlal 1 - 1 Al-Shorta

Al-Ahli

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 20, 2020 4.00pm
Al-Ahli 0 - 0 Al Wahda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esteghlal would win this match.

Result

Esteghlal 37.76%
Draw 28.36%
Al-Ahli 33.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 40.33%
Under 2.5 59.66%
Over 3.5 20.02%
Under 3.5 79.98%

Esteghlal Goals

Over 0.5 69.52%
Under 0.5 30.48%
Over 1.5 33.31%
Under 1.5 66.69%

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 67.03%
Under 0.5 32.97%
Over 1.5 30.45%
Under 1.5 69.55%

Score analysis

Esteghlal 37.75%
Draw 28.34%
Al-Ahli 33.88%
Esteghlal
1-0 @ 11.93%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 37.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.34%
Al-Ahli
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 6.19%
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.88%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Feb 17, 2020 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Salman Al Moasher 17' goal
  • Mohammed Al-Majhad 27' yellowcard
  • Salman Al Moasher 29' goal
  • Ali Al-Asmari 34' yellowcard
  • Abdulbasit Hindi 52' yellowcard
  • Salman Al Moasher 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roozbeh Cheshmi 1'
  • goal Amir Arsalan Motahari 22'