AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2020 at 4pm UK
Al-Shaab Stadium

Al-Shorta
2 - 1
Al-Ahli

Natiq (14'), Fayad (65')
Natiq (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al-Majhad (56')
Lima (28')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Shorta and Al-Ahli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Shorta win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Shorta win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Shorta would win this match.

Result
Al-ShortaDrawAl-Ahli
38.7%26.21%35.09%
Both teams to score 53.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83%51.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99%73.01%
Al-Shorta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13%25.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15%60.84%
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05%27.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42%63.58%
Score Analysis
    Al-Shorta 38.7%
    Al-Ahli 35.09%
    Draw 26.21%
Al-ShortaDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.7%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.22%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.09%

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