Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.