Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al Khaleej	Draw	Al-Ahli
21.71% ( 0.26)	25.19% ( -0.16)	53.1% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 47.63% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6% (

0.86)

54.4% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.22% (

0.71)

75.77% (

-0.71)

Al Khaleej Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.9% (

0.76)

40.1% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.26% (

0.69)

76.74% (

-0.69)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

0.3)

20.49% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

0.48)

52.97% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Al Khaleej 21.71%

Al-Ahli 53.09%

Draw 25.19%

Al Khaleej	Draw	Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.71%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 10.32% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 53.09%