Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Al Khaleej Club Stadium

Al Khaleej
1 - 3
Al-Ahli

Hamzi (58')
Woo-young (6'), Rodrigues (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ibanez (9'), Mahrez (45+1'), Alnabit (90+11')
Ibanez (70'), Al-Majhad (72'), Al-Ali (90+6'), Al Ali (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Khaleej and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Khaleej

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fayha 3-1 Al Khaleej
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Hazem
Friday, August 11 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al KhaleejDrawAl-Ahli
21.71% (0.261 0.26)25.19% (-0.163 -0.16)53.1% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.78100000000001 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (0.863 0.86)54.4% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (0.712 0.71)75.77% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)
Al Khaleej Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (0.757 0.76)40.1% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (0.686 0.69)76.74% (-0.687 -0.69)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.304 0.3)20.49% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.483 0.48)52.97% (-0.483 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Al Khaleej 21.71%
    Al-Ahli 53.09%
    Draw 25.19%
Al KhaleejDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.44% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.43% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.66% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.05% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.71%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.22% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 13.02% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 10.32% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.081 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 53.09%

How you voted: Al Khaleej vs Al-Ahli

Al Khaleej
4.3%
Draw
13.0%
Al-Ahli
82.6%
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