Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium

Al Fateh
1 - 1
Al-Taawoun

Albirakan (24')
Faraj Al Zubaidi (57'), Alfehaid (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Girotto (45+1')
El Mahdioui (38'), Abdulmalik (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fateh and Al-Taawoun, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pakhtakor 5-4 Al-Taawoun
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Al FatehDrawAl-Taawoun
39.1% (0.282 0.28)24.7% (-0.108 -0.11)36.2% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 58.79% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.484 0.48)44.31% (-0.483 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (0.469 0.47)66.68% (-0.468 -0.47)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (0.35899999999999 0.36)22.57% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (0.53 0.53)56.16% (-0.529 -0.53)
Al-Taawoun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (0.129 0.13)24.08% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (0.181 0.18)58.37% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Al Fateh 39.1%
    Al-Taawoun 36.2%
    Draw 24.69%
Al FatehDrawAl-Taawoun
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.1%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 36.2%

How you voted: Al Fateh vs Al-Taawoun

Al Fateh
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Al-Taawoun
16.7%
6