Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fateh would win this match.