Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Najran Sport City Center

Al Okhdood
1 - 3
Al Fateh

Tanase (23')
Tanase (9'), Salah Musleh Al Shaikh (29'), Collado (54')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Batna (36'), Tello (45+2' pen., 90+2')
Al Yousif (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Okhdood and Al Fateh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Okhdood

All competitions
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-1 Al Okhdood
Monday, August 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Fateh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-1 Al-Taawoun
Sunday, August 13 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fateh would win this match.

Result
Al OkhdoodDrawAl Fateh
29.75% (0.172 0.17)26.49% (0.093 0.09)43.76% (-0.267 -0.27)
Both teams to score 50.78% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.294 -0.29)53.76% (0.292 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.247 -0.25)75.23% (0.246 0.25)
Al Okhdood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)32.82% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)69.39% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (-0.26100000000001 -0.26)24.4% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (-0.369 -0.37)58.83% (0.367 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Al Okhdood 29.75%
    Al Fateh 43.75%
    Draw 26.49%
Al OkhdoodDrawAl Fateh
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.75%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 11.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.97% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 43.75%

rhs 2.0


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