Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Abha had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Abha win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Wahda would win this match.

Result
Al Wahda	Draw	Abha
42.6% ( 0.26)	25.59% ( 0.12)	31.81% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 54.6% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.75% (

-0.67)

49.25% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.69% (

-0.61)

71.31% (

0.6)

Al Wahda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

-0.16)

23% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

-0.24)

56.8% (

0.23)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

-0.59)

29.08% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99% (

-0.73)

65% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Al Wahda 42.6%

Abha 31.81%

Draw 25.58%

Al Wahda	Draw	Abha
1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.6%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.81%