Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Abha win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Abha win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Abha in this match.