Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 at 4pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Abha
1 - 0
Al Raed

Al Ruwaili (57')
Bin Jumayah (13'), Naji (53'), Matic (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tavares (17'), N'Diaye (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Abha and Al Raed, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Abha

All competitions
Last Game: Abha 1-3 Al-Hilal
Monday, August 14 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Raed

All competitions
Last Game: Al Raed 0-3 Al Ittihad
Monday, August 14 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Abha win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Abha win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Abha in this match.

Result
AbhaDrawAl Raed
41.53% (0.579 0.58)25.07% (0.016999999999999 0.02)33.4% (-0.596 -0.6)
Both teams to score 56.91% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (-0.218 -0.22)46.5% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (-0.205 -0.21)68.78% (0.205 0.2)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.185 0.19)22.33% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2% (0.279 0.28)55.8% (-0.28 -0.28)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-0.465 -0.47)26.73% (0.466 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (-0.616 -0.62)62% (0.616 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Abha 41.53%
    Al Raed 33.4%
    Draw 25.06%
AbhaDrawAl Raed
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.71% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.2% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 33.4%

rhs 2.0


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