Saudi Pro League Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sport City Stadium
  • goal Abderrazak Hamdallah 58'
  • goal Igor Coronado 73'
  • goal Igor Coronado 79'

Al Raed vs Al Ittihad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Raed

Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Karim El Berkaoui

Al Ittihad

Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Abderrazak Hamdallah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 15.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result

Al Raed 15.22% (-0.54)
Draw 20.83% (+0.05)
Al Ittihad 63.96% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.28% (-1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.8% (-1.20)
Under 2.5 46.2% (+1.21)
Over 3.5 31.51% (-1.15)
Under 3.5 68.5% (+1.15)
Over 4.5 15.73% (-0.82)
Under 4.5 84.28% (+0.83)

Al Raed Goals

Over 0.5 57.13% (-1.45)
Under 0.5 42.87% (+1.45)
Over 1.5 20.82% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 79.18% (+1.26)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 86.26% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 13.75% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 58.98% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 41.03% (+0.47)

Score analysis

Al Raed 15.22%
Draw 20.83%
Al Ittihad 63.95%
Al Raed
1-0 @ 4.99% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 4.2% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 2.11% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.89% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 20.83%
Al Ittihad
0-1 @ 11.69% (+0.50)
0-2 @ 11.6% (+0.39)
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 7.68% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.10)
0-4 @ 3.81% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 3.23% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.16)
0-5 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.09)
1-5 @ 1.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 63.95%