Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.