Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 4pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Abha
1 - 3
Al-Hilal

Bguir (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malcom (31', 55', 77')
Albulayhi (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Abha and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Abha

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Al-Hilal
Saturday, May 6 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Abha win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
AbhaDrawAl-Hilal
17.74% (-0.055 -0.05)22.06% (0.036000000000001 0.04)60.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.216 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (-0.235 -0.23)47.05% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.22 -0.22)69.29% (0.224 0.22)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.82% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)40.18% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.18% (-0.187 -0.19)76.82% (0.191 0.19)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)15.2% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.17% (-0.136 -0.14)43.84% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Abha 17.74%
    Al-Hilal 60.19%
    Draw 22.06%
AbhaDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 5.57% (0.024 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.74%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 11.5% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.83% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.81% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.19%

How you voted: Abha vs Al-Hilal

Abha
6.9%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Hilal
93.1%
29