Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Al-Hilal win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.