Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Abha
1 - 3
Al Ettifaq

Toko Ekambi (90+8' pen.)
Naji (24'), Kamano (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dembele (58'), Quaison (75'), Al Ghamdi (82')
Al Shamrani (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Abha and Al Ettifaq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Tai 1-0 Abha
Friday, September 1 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 3-1 Damac
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Abha had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Abha win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.

Result
AbhaDrawAl Ettifaq
35.59% (-0.262 -0.26)26.74%37.67% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)74.88% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)28.69% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)64.52% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.15000000000001 0.15)27.46% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.194 0.19)62.95% (-0.188 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Abha 35.59%
    Al Ettifaq 37.67%
    Draw 26.74%
AbhaDrawAl Ettifaq
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.59%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 37.67%