Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Al-Taawoun
1 - 0
Abha

Mateus (85')
Zayed Al-Ghamdi (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bin Jumayah (45+1'), Tatarusanu (84'), Al Hbeab (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Taawoun and Abha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Taawoun

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-2 Al-Taawoun
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Abha

All competitions
Last Game: Abha 1-0 Al Raed
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Abha had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Taawoun would win this match.

Result
Al-TaawounDrawAbha
58.59% (0.911 0.91)21.23% (-0.407 -0.41)20.17% (-0.499 -0.5)
Both teams to score 57.93% (0.614 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (1.186 1.19)39.63% (-1.183 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (1.225 1.23)61.98% (-1.221 -1.22)
Al-Taawoun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.73% (0.66500000000001 0.67)13.26% (-0.66 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.94% (1.324 1.32)40.05% (-1.32 -1.32)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (0.19800000000001 0.2)33.21% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.218 0.22)69.82% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Al-Taawoun 58.59%
    Abha 20.17%
    Draw 21.23%
Al-TaawounDrawAbha
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.05% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.159 0.16)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.097 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.096 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 58.59%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.245 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 20.17%

How you voted: Al-Taawoun vs Abha

Al-Taawoun
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Abha
0.0%
6