Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Abha had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Taawoun would win this match.