Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.