Saudi Pro League Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mrsool Park
  • Abdullah Alkhaibari 10' yellowcard
  • Anderson Talisca 52' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 56' goal
  • Nawaf Boushal 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cosmin Contra 11'
  • goal Georges-Kevin N'Koudou 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Tarek Hamed 50'
  • yellowcard Assan Ceesay 60'

Al-Nassr vs Damac - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 6, 2023 4.00pm
Al-Nassr 2 - 2 Abha
Goals scored
100
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Damac

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 1.00pm
Damac 4 - 1 Al Hazem
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Georges-Kevin N'Koudou

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Damac had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result

Al-Nassr 74.15% (+0.03)
Draw 15.72% (-0.02)
Damac 10.13% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.52% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.76% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 35.24% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 42.74% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 57.25% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 24.38% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 75.61% (-0.04)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 91.89% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 8.1% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 71.53% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.47% (-0.04)

Damac Goals

Over 0.5 56.06% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.93% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 19.93% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 80.07% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 74.14%
Draw 15.72%
Damac 10.13%
Al-Nassr
2-0 @ 11.24%
3-0 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.74% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.97% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.45% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 74.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.36% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 15.72%
Damac
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.93% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 10.13%