Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
2 - 1
Damac

Talisca (52'), Ronaldo (56')
Alkhaibari (10'), Boushal (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
N'Koudou (45+2')
Contra (11'), Hamed (50'), Ceesay (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Damac, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-2 Abha
Friday, October 6 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Damac

All competitions
Last Game: Damac 4-1 Al Hazem
Thursday, October 5 at 1pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Damac had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawDamac
74.15% (0.025999999999996 0.03)15.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)10.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03)35.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.74% (0.031999999999996 0.03)57.25% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)8.1% (-0.0139 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.53% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.47% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.06% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)43.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)80.07% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 74.14%
    Damac 10.13%
    Draw 15.72%
Al-NassrDrawDamac
2-0 @ 11.24%
3-0 @ 9.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 5.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
6-0 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 74.14%
1-1 @ 7.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 15.72%
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 10.13%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Damac

Al-Nassr
100%
Draw
0.0%
Damac
0.0%
18