AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Al-Nassr

Persepolis
0 - 2
Al-Nassr


Sarlak (18'), Rigi (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Esmaeilifar (62' og.), Qassem (72')
Brozovic (45+2')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Persepolis and Al-Nassr.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Persepolis 0-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, October 16 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: Al Raed 1-3 Al-Nassr
Saturday, September 16 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Persepolis had a probability of 12.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.66%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Persepolis win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
PersepolisDrawAl-Nassr
12.93% (-0.25 -0.25)21.52% (-0.104 -0.1)65.55% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 41.57% (-0.355 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54% (-0.105 -0.11)53.46% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)74.99% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Persepolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.26% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)50.74% (0.47 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.84% (-0.32 -0.32)85.16% (0.321 0.32)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (0.081999999999994 0.08)15.61% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.4% (0.149 0.15)44.6% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Persepolis 12.93%
    Al-Nassr 65.54%
    Draw 21.52%
PersepolisDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 5.37% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.39% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 1.82% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 12.93%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.52%
0-1 @ 14.7% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 13.66% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 8.46% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.93% (0.059 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.46% (0.026 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 65.54%

How you voted: Persepolis vs Al-Nassr

Persepolis
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Nassr
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2020 4pm
Semi-Finals
Al-Nassr
1-1
Persepolis
Persepolis win 5-3 on penalties
Hamdallah (36' pen.)
Al-Sulaiheem (49'), Madu (78')
Abdi (42')
Khalilzadeh (37'), Pahlevan (84'), Amiri (90+1')
Pahlevan (104')