Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium) (Ar-Rass (Rass))
Al-Nassr

Al Hazem
1 - 5
Al-Nassr

Badamosi (47')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ghareeb (33'), Alkhaibari (45+8'), Otavio (57'), Ronaldo (68'), Mane (78')
Castro (0'), Ali (90+1')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Hazem and Al-Nassr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Hazem

All competitions
Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-1 Al Hazem
Tuesday, August 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-0 Al Shabab
Tuesday, August 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al HazemDrawAl-Nassr
22.29% (0.064 0.06)24.47% (0.058 0.06)53.23% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.94% (-0.165 -0.16)51.06% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (-0.145 -0.15)72.92% (0.143 0.14)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)37.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.59% (-0.029 -0.03)74.41% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-0.113 -0.11)19.13% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (-0.185 -0.18)50.77% (0.184 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Al Hazem 22.29%
    Al-Nassr 53.23%
    Draw 24.47%
Al HazemDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 7.04% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.44% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.29%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 11.9% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.85% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.31% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 53.23%

How you voted: Al Hazem vs Al-Nassr

Al Hazem
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Nassr
83.3%
6