/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fnaslog.png)
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
13'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
38'
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Sadio Mane
41'
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Sadio Mane
43'
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Sultan Al-Ghanam
80'
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Nawaf Boushal
89'
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Hussain Alsebyani
29'
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Nader Al-Sharari
33'
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Gustavo Cuellar
37'
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Iago Santos
43'
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Hattan Babhir
77'
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Ever Banega
78'
Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
Result
Al-Nassr
47.72%
▲
(+0.40)
Draw
23.81%
▼
(-0.09)
Al Shabab
28.47%
▼
(-0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
58.72%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.99%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 2.5
43.02%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 3.5
34.59%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 3.5
65.42%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 4.5
17.96%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
82.04%
▼
(-0.17)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5
81.81%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
18.2%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 1.5
50.8%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 1.5
49.2%
▼
(-0.42)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5
71.78%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
28.22%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
36.08%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
63.93%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Al-Nassr
47.72%
Draw
23.81%
Al Shabab
28.47%
Al-Nassr
2-1
@
9.43%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.72%
1-0 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.72%
Draw
1-1
@
11.07%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.81%
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.81%
Al Shabab
1-2
@
7%
▼
(-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 28.47%