AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2021 at 6pm UK
Azadi Stadium

Persepolis
2 - 1
Goa

Torabi (18' pen.), Jalaleddin Hosseini Khoskebijari (25')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bedia Pelaez (14')
Fernandes (10'), Gama (15'), Bedia Pelaez (65')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Persepolis and Goa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Persepolis win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Goa had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Persepolis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Goa win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Persepolis in this match.

Result
PersepolisDrawGoa
52.16%23.22%24.61%
Both teams to score 57.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56%43.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16%65.84%
Persepolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32%16.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44%46.56%
Goa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63%31.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26%67.74%
Score Analysis
    Persepolis 52.16%
    Goa 24.61%
    Draw 23.22%
PersepolisDrawGoa
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.39%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.51%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-1 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.61%

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